Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Villanova 100.0%   1   32 - 2 16 - 2 32 - 2 16 - 2 +20.9      +10.5 4 +10.5 4 66.4 167 +23.3 2 +21.3 1
20 Butler 99.8%   6   22 - 10 12 - 6 22 - 10 12 - 6 +13.1      +6.5 20 +6.5 20 65.3 197 +13.1 22 +14.3 3
21 Georgetown 99.7%   6   21 - 10 12 - 6 21 - 10 12 - 6 +13.0      +6.5 21 +6.5 21 65.9 176 +13.3 20 +14.3 2
24 Xavier 99.8%   7   21 - 13 9 - 9 21 - 13 9 - 9 +12.5      +6.3 24 +6.3 24 68.0 131 +10.7 37 +9.7 6
25 Providence 100.0%   5   22 - 11 11 - 7 22 - 11 11 - 7 +12.3      +6.2 25 +6.2 25 68.6 115 +13.0 23 +12.8 4
37 St. John's 98.2%   8   20 - 11 10 - 8 20 - 11 10 - 8 +10.3      +5.1 37 +5.1 37 70.9 68 +12.2 27 +11.5 5
71 Creighton 0.0%   14 - 19 4 - 14 14 - 19 4 - 14 +6.6      +3.3 71 +3.3 71 62.7 267 +4.1 103 +2.3 10
86 Seton Hall 0.0%   16 - 15 6 - 12 16 - 15 6 - 12 +5.5      +2.7 86 +2.7 86 68.8 109 +7.0 72 +6.0 8
90 Marquette 0.0%   13 - 19 4 - 14 13 - 19 4 - 14 +5.1      +2.5 90 +2.5 90 64.7 213 +4.8 94 +2.5 9
139 DePaul 0.0%   12 - 20 6 - 12 12 - 20 6 - 12 +1.8      +0.9 139 +0.9 139 71.4 58 +2.3 137 +6.5 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Villanova 1.0 100.0
Butler 2.0 100.0
Georgetown 2.0 100.0
Xavier 6.0 100.0
Providence 4.0 100.0
St. John's 5.0 100.0
Creighton 9.0 100.0
Seton Hall 7.0 100.0
Marquette 9.0 100.0
DePaul 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Villanova 16 - 2 100.0
Butler 12 - 6 100.0
Georgetown 12 - 6 100.0
Xavier 9 - 9 100.0
Providence 11 - 7 100.0
St. John's 10 - 8 100.0
Creighton 4 - 14 100.0
Seton Hall 6 - 12 100.0
Marquette 4 - 14 100.0
DePaul 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Villanova 100.0% 100.0
Butler
Georgetown
Xavier
Providence
St. John's
Creighton
Seton Hall
Marquette
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Villanova 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   65.4 34.0 0.6
Butler 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 6   0.4 6.5 28.4 35.9 24.5 3.9 0.2 0.2 99.8%
Georgetown 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 6   0.0 0.7 10.7 31.6 32.4 20.1 3.8 0.4 0.0 0.4 99.7%
Xavier 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 7   0.1 3.8 20.3 50.2 23.9 1.6 0.0 0.2 99.8%
Providence 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.9 13.9 41.8 34.6 8.5 0.3 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 98.2% 0.0% 98.2% 8   0.0 0.9 5.4 22.4 41.5 24.1 3.8 0.1 1.8 98.2%
Creighton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seton Hall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.2% 81.0% 60.6% 37.9% 20.9% 11.1%
Butler 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 67.1% 28.7% 9.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Georgetown 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 67.8% 29.7% 9.4% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Xavier 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 59.0% 17.8% 6.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Providence 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 67.4% 30.1% 8.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
St. John's 98.2% 0.0% 98.2% 47.0% 8.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Creighton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seton Hall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.0 0.0 2.4 97.5
1st Round 100.0% 6.0 0.0 2.4 97.5
2nd Round 100.0% 4.1 0.0 0.7 6.6 21.6 35.6 27.1 8.3
Sweet Sixteen 96.0% 2.0 4.0 29.5 39.4 21.4 5.1 0.6 0.0
Elite Eight 75.5% 1.0 24.5 55.7 17.7 2.0 0.1
Final Four 45.7% 0.5 54.3 42.0 3.6 0.1
Final Game 23.6% 0.2 76.4 23.3 0.3
Champion 11.8% 0.1 88.2 11.8